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When will the Faba market return to normal? Clearing the Egyptian Surplus.
Three scenarios outlining the time to get export buying back to a normal pattern.
Simon Hutt
5 days ago4 min read


MUST READ....ABARES - Faba Bean Dec Forecast – Expanded Analyst Report
The big one we were expecting - Faba Bean National production forecast is UP ~9%. Executive Summary As previously communicated, the Australian faba bean market was already on track for a surplus position. The December ABARES update confirms that this surplus is not only real but significantly larger than expected. National production now sits at 930kmt, up from the September estimate of 854 kmt. This +9% uplift reinforces the structural imbalance: supply now materially exceed
Simon Hutt
Dec 23 min read


Is La Niña Really Coming? We say yes then no.
A clear, simple breakdown of what BoM's call means — And why it may not behave as expected. Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) has officially stated that La Niña conditions are now present in the Pacific Ocean. Ocean temperatures have cooled enough, pressure patterns have shifted, and key indicators such as the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) have moved into La Niña territory. On paper, it meets the definitions. But here’s the important part: This is a weak and poten
Simon Hutt
Dec 23 min read


ABARES Sep vs Dec Forecast – Lentils & Winter Crop Summary
Overview The December 2025 ABARES update introduces significant upward revisions compared with the September outlook, driven by improved spring conditions across South Australia and Victoria. Timely October rainfall and cooler grain‑fill temperatures materially lifted yield expectations. The largest gain was in lentil production which now forecast at 1.9Mmt nationally, a substantial upgrade from implied September levels and a new Australian record. We believe these forecasts
Simon Hutt
Dec 22 min read


A deep dive into the lentil market, where prices are heading and why.
Indian lentil tariffs and how they shaped market prices in recent years.
Simon Hutt
Nov 274 min read


Analyst note — Why are faba bean prices lower this year?
Export demand to Egypt drives the Faba Bean market ex-farm prices every year.
Simon Hutt
Nov 193 min read
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